Pink Ribbons For 70-Year-Old Men!
Doctors and professors of medicine Steven Woloshin and Lisa M. Schwartz, authors of Know Your Chances: Understanding Health Statistics, write in the LA Times about The EARLY Act, the dumb, $45 million legislation to increase awareness about breast cancer:
It's hard to oppose cancer education. That is probably why the proposed Education and Awareness Requires Learning Young (EARLY) Act has 363 co-sponsors in the House of Representatives. The $45-million bill, which seeks "to increase public awareness regarding the threats posed by breast cancer to young women," is well-intentioned and emotionally appealing.It is also a big mistake.
For starters, it targets women between the ages of 15 and 39. Fewer than 5% of breast cancers occur before age 40. According to national statistics, about one in 10,000 20-year-old women will die of breast cancer in the next 10 years (meaning that 9,999 will not). For context, a 70-year-old man has about the same risk of dying from breast cancer.
...A call for increased self-examination among young woman might also trigger more screening mammograms, and there is no evidence that mammography before age 40 reduces the risk of dying from breast cancer. Young women have dense breast tissue, which leads to more false alarms. Mammography screening also results in over-diagnosis, the detection of cancers that were never destined to cause symptoms or death even if untreated. It has been estimated that 10% to 50% of breast cancers detected by mammography screening are in fact over-diagnosis. Over-diagnosis leads to treatment that can only cause harm. And of course, early exposure to radiation can itself increase cancer risk.
...Neither the American Cancer Society nor the National Breast Cancer Coalition support the EARLY Act, and the latter is actively opposing it. Why? Because no matter how intuitively appealing it may be to engage young women in the fight against breast cancer, the EARLY Act runs counter to the evidence. It would end up doing more harm than good.
How does cancer funding in general stack up along gender lines? Tara Parker Pope blogs at The New York Times:
Among the big cancers, breast cancer receives the most funding per new case, $2,596 -- and by far the most money relative to each death, $13,452. Notably, prostate cancer, the most common cancer, receives the least funding per new case at just $1,318. But on a per-death basis it ranks second, with $11,298 in N.C.I. funds.
Here's NYT commenter "Dave" on lung cancer:
As a doctor, I would just like to remind everyone that the #1 cure for lung cancer is simply not smoking. 90-95% of lung cancers are caused by smoking and all-cancer mortality would be reduced 50% by not smoking. Billions can be spent on lung cancer drug development and it will only lead to a 3-4 month added survival. I would like to see the non-smokers get back the health insurance dollars being used on smokers through a $4/pack health insurance tax. The extra cost would reduce smoking through economic reasons and the revenue would pay for care of currently uninsured without having to raise taxes elsewhere. I don't see any politician spouting this simple advice.







Ummm... Amy, we guys have a campaign for prostate cancer awareness...
...but nobody's sure where to wear the ribbon!
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"The extra cost would reduce smoking through economic reasons..."
No. Again, be consistent. If a lack of cheap, safe drugs is the reason for the immense ilegal drug trade, a lack of cheap, quality tobacco, a drug, will result in illegal tobacco trade. There is a reason the Federal agency is named The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives.
Of course, if this man is right, then the expense of illegal drugs reduces their use. How is that bad? Note that violations of the 4th Amendment by police accompany, but are not caused by the presence of drugs.
As for smoking, add this to your repertoire of questions regarding national health care:
Would this be the same level of government responsibility shown by the states, who subsidized tobacco while their own health departments were telling them how it kills people?
You should wonder how the states were not a defendant in the tobacco "settlement".
Radwaste at August 2, 2009 1:21 AM
Cigarettes are over $7 a pack in some states. Smoking is not dropping at any significant rate.
But get Obamacare, and you too can spend the rest of your life with a broken ankle unless you quit smoking.
brian at August 2, 2009 4:44 AM
"The extra cost would reduce smoking through economic reasons..."
I don't agree with this silliness, either, but I posted it because of his contention that much of lung cancer is self-caused.
Amy Alkon at August 2, 2009 6:25 AM
I don't smoke and never have, but at some point we are still a free people.
Dr Dave goes as far as I am willing to go. People who make risky decisions do not have the right to force me to pay for the consequences. Beyond that, we are free to do as we wish with our lives.
MarkD at August 2, 2009 6:25 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1660794">comment from MarkDPeople who make risky decisions do not have the right to force me to pay for the consequences. Beyond that, we are free to do as we wish with our lives.
Agree. Smoking is one of the stupidest things a person could do to their health, short of wandering blindfolded onto the freeway and hoping not to be hit. I recently posted something from a heart bypass doc from Dr. Michael Eades' site who said he'd never done a bypass for somebody who hadn't smoked.
Amy Alkon
at August 2, 2009 6:34 AM
I started smoking as a young kid who wanted to look cool. When I realized it wasn't as cool as it seemed, I had a very rough time quitting. Most people don't start smoking in hopes of losing their lung or getting heart disease. When I was younger, we could smoke everywhere. Standing in the line at motor vehicle? Light up. Work? Forget cigarette breaks, we just lit up at our desk. An after dinner smoke? No problem, the waiter would bring a light. None of that is possible anymore and that's a good thing. I just don't know that taxing cigs any higher is a good thing. A pack here in NY is $8. I don't expect non-smokers to pity the smokers, but isn't that enough already? I don't see a tax being raised on beer to prevent all the drunks from smashing into other people let alone developing alcohol related diseases. And considering the massive cuts our county has seen, I'm wondering where all these cig tax dollars have been going since the last increase.
Kristen at August 2, 2009 6:55 AM
My dad has been smoking for 60+ years. He had to quit for a little while earlier this year, and I thought he quit for good, but no, he's smoking again. Not as much as he was, though, but still. He's 77, has been smoking since he was 15, and does NOT have lung cancer, amazingly enough. He's got acute emphasema(sp?), and that's it. On the other hand, I knew a woman who never smoked, came from a family of non-smokers, and she died of lung cancer. Go figure.
Flynne at August 2, 2009 8:20 AM
And not for nothing, but I think 70-year-old men should get GREEN ribbons, especially if they served in the military! o.O
Flynne at August 2, 2009 8:21 AM
"People who make risky decisions do not have the right to force me to pay for the consequences."
Excuse me, but what's a "risky decision"?
Something someone else does? Merely living in California?
Do you deny medical treatment to a guy with an otherwise spotless driving record because he was 10MPH over the speed limit when he crashed? 15MPH?
If you don't decide this, someone else will do it for you. I'm pretty sure you won't like the result.
Pay your own way just this much and you decide what risk to take.
Radwaste at August 2, 2009 9:12 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1660808">comment from RadwasteDo you deny medical treatment to a guy with an otherwise spotless driving record because he was 10MPH over the speed limit when he crashed? 15MPH?
People sometimes make bad driving decisions, but billions of people drive without getting into terrible accidents that cost others for their medical care. Smoking, on the other hand is likely to impose great costs on the rest of us. Likewise, if you ride a donorcycle, as emergency room doctors call motorcycles, I believe you should either pay for some supplemental insurance or have a little sticker on the back of your bike that tells the ambulance driver to leave you like huevos rancheros on the side of the highway. No, I don't want to force you to wear a helmet -- I'd just like you to pick up the cost of riding a bike without one. And I do pay higher rates -- for insurance, for example -- based on where I live. Higher taxes, too. You want lower taxes, move to where nobody wants to live.
Amy Alkon
at August 2, 2009 9:21 AM
Every claim made by Dr. Dave is a lie.
Not smoking will not cure lung cancer. You can't be cured of lung cancer by quitting smoking and the fact that you don't smoke won't cure you if you contract it.
Mortality from all cancers would not be reduced by 50% by not smoking. This is simply false.
And 90-95% of lung cancers are not known to be caused by smoking. About 15% of cases are among non-smokers. The ACS's own numbers are in the 80% range, and that's for an association w/ smoking. So again, he's just making shit up.
And his claim that investing in lung cancer drug research is worthless because it will only ever prolong life by 4 months at most is another lie.
There are a few very expensive end-of-life cancer drugs that fit this description (e.g. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124630681515869963.html), but they're not representative of all cancer drugs in use or under development. And Dr. Dave has no way of predicting what new drug research may yield.
At this point I'm going to go out on a limb and bet that Dr. Dave isn't a medical doctor.
One last point. It's absurd to claim that a $4 a pack cigarette tax will simultaneously reduce smoking and also fully finance insurance for the uninsured. It's not enough even if there's no decrease in smoking. Again he's just lying.
I'm not defending smoking here. I'm just really sick of being lied to regarding public health issues.
Isaac at August 2, 2009 12:16 PM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1660819">comment from IsaacNat Cancer Institute says:
http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/factsheet/tobacco/cancer
I was there as a close friend, a nonsmoker, died of lung cancer. It's a horrible way to go.
In short: Real dipshits smoke.
Amy Alkon
at August 2, 2009 12:40 PM
"People sometimes make bad driving decisions, but billions of people drive without getting into terrible accidents that cost others for their medical care."
So starts a reply that doesn't answer the question: Who decides? It engages a fallacy, instead.
And wait just a minute. In 2008, through October, 31110 people died (dunno how many are hurt) in car crashes, and this is down because of gas prices. This is good, how?
What were these people doing? Do they get medical care withheld?
Hey, if a cigarette tax will save cancer deaths, a gas tax will save people from crashes!
We can simply price our way to perfect health and complete safety!
Here's an article, with video, explaining some details about motorcycle helmet fitting. There's a chunk in there about a Grand Prix rider crashing at big speed (170+) and not even being knocked out; you can watch his head hit the racetrack a few times. His $2000 custom leathers, $600 helmet, $300 boots and physical conditioning program put Shinya Nakano back to work in a couple of hours.
How does that fix an idiot pulling out in front of a kid on a dirt bike or a mom on a scooter? You notice the loud Ninja or Harley, but that's not everybody.
Hmm. Have you ever heard what kills car drivers most often? Head and spinal injuries. You should be wearing a helmet. You should have your car regulated by GPS to the speed limit. You should have controls in the car which prohibit you from doing other things, like eating, talking on a phone, etc.
All of these things are possible when you let someone else decide.
Again: if you pay, you get to decide. If you don't, then the clerk will.
Chances are, the clerk will look at bicycle stats and ban them. Get ready.
Radwaste at August 2, 2009 1:33 PM
People need to drive. Nobody needs to smoke (save for the odd schizophrenic self-medicating, as I recently learned).
Lobster at August 2, 2009 4:14 PM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1660829">comment from LobsterExactly, Lobster. And most people don't see out the most deadly car they can find, then buy it.
Amy Alkon
at August 2, 2009 4:24 PM
Amy: No, I don't want to force you to wear a helmet -- I'd just like you to pick up the cost of riding a bike without one.
I don't have stats handy to back this up, but something to think about: On average, the medical costs associated with a motorcycle accident victim who is wearing a helmet are greater than the costs of those who are not wearing a helmet. Why? Because it doesn't cost as much to store a dead body as it does to keep someone alive/fix their mangled body.
Spork at August 2, 2009 4:41 PM
And I read in the LA Times today that a church in South Central has received a $500k grant to teach African-Americans about nutrition.
I believe deeply in government, good government, but there are times....still, the phony "libertarians" piss me off. I wonder how Amy "Bozo Hair-do" Alkon will pay her health insurance from age 55 to 65? I mean, it's going run a grand easy per month, and that is if everything is clear. And by age 60, we are talking $2k--every month.
I suspect Ms. Bozo Hairdo (Or should I call that a "hair don't") will be crying for federal help. Hey, I want all the subsidies I can get, and the lowest taxation also. And no military service.
And, I want a $500k grant to teach some people about nutrition....
i-holier-than-thou at August 2, 2009 5:12 PM
If they were allowed to, health insurance companies would undoubtedly alter their coverage to account for people who engage in cost-increasing behaviors like smoking and riding a motorcycle without a helmet. And they should be allowed to, and we should be free to choose to engage in behaviors that other people consider risky. And, finally, the system should not penalize you because of the risky behaviors that I choose to engage in.
Pseudonym at August 2, 2009 5:56 PM
"And most people don't see(k) out the most deadly car they can find, then buy it."
Buyers don't look for the worst, they look for the best if they look at all. For years, the worst was the Chevy S-10 Blazer, but there was no shortage of buyers because the damned things worked well. There is also a blanket ban on towing U-Haul trailers with Ford Explorers (ditto of the Blazer) here in the Southeast because of a trailering accident; other vehicles in the class, like the Blazer, Isuzu Amigo, Pathfinder, etc., have no such ban. The medium sport-utes are nice, but they don't take kindly to idiot driving.
Nice Poe, i-hole. Snore.
Radwaste at August 2, 2009 6:18 PM
"People need to drive."
No, not as much as they do. Fatalities are down precisely because leisure driving is down.
Think a minute about "knowledge workers". The bulk of them only commute because of a power structure that cannot imagine being in control unless they can command personal attendance. I can do more than 80% of my work with industrial design impacts from my house, but I have to drive 26 miles to work because my bosses say so.
Radwaste at August 2, 2009 6:27 PM
Smokers are already funding insurance -- new tobacco tax rates became effective April 1, 2009. The cigarette taxes went up 158%. Loose tobacco for roll-your-own went up 2,159%.
That was on top of the state and local sin taxes and the amount smokers were already being charged to fund the tobacco settlement with the states -- that the states have already raided.
And you still want to throw more on top?
How about this -- if you are over BMI -- you get taxed.
How about taxing the hell out of sugar and HFCS?
Obesity causes diabetes and other heart conditions as well. It is just as preventable as cancer from smoking. Lose weight, eat better. You are paying as much for that risk as you are for smoking. But where is the sin tax for being fat?
Jim P. at August 2, 2009 6:44 PM
I would like to see the non-smokers get back the health insurance dollars being used on smokers through a $4/pack health insurance tax.
This is completely preposterous.
Everyone dies. On average, roughly 50% of a persons life cycle medical costs come in the last six months of life (excluding death by various forms of violence to the body), no matter what disease is the culprit at the end.
Agreed, smoking is stupid.
But eliminating smoking will not change the cost of health care one iota.
It will, however, make Social Security insolvency worse.
(Sometime ago, some non-smoking economists calculated that the smoking induced cost to health care, under the most generous assumptions, was no more than twenty-five cents a pack.)
Hey Skipper at August 2, 2009 7:04 PM
But eliminating smoking will not change the cost of health care one iota.
Yes it would. The cost to everyone else will go up as well since the smokers are no longer funding SCHIP. ;-)
Jim P. at August 2, 2009 7:38 PM
Jim P.
Yes it would.
I have to admit, you got me there.
Hey Skipper at August 2, 2009 8:09 PM
Amy, I'll make a deal with you. You give up your Ritalin and I'll agree to another $4 a pack tax on my cigarettes.
The real truth is that you, alone, are more of a drain on the healthcare system than I will ever be and I smoke 4 1/2 pack a day.
Wanna bet? Add up how much you pay your HMO vs how much use take from it. Me? I haven't seen a doctor in 7 years.
Will I get lung cancer? Probably. But I'll die before I ever get to Medicare.
Meanwhile, we'll all be paying for your Ritalin when you're 80.
Jaynie59 at August 2, 2009 9:39 PM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1660857">comment from Jaynie59I see the shrink about one and a half times a year to get my Ritalin and take far less than I am prescribed. Ritalin doesn't cause emphysema, lung cancer and really has little downside (at least for me) per an epidemiologist I know. I pay far more into the system than I take out of it. The notion that I cost more than you do, as a smoker, is beyond laughable -- even asinine. And my Ritalin is actually Methylin, a generic, and I take a very low dose.
Do you have any idea what lung cancer costs? Any idea? And think not just of the health care system but the cost on your friends. You're really a jerk to smoke.
You'll all be paying for my Ritalin? Please. Cost of 600 5 mg Methylin, the non-member discounted price, is a little over $200 (I think it said $224 on the label). I will not use that up for probably 6-8 months. I pay $339 a month to Kaiser. Frankly, on me, they're really making out. An office visit and a half a year for about 20 minutes to the guy who prescribes it -- versus an asshole who smokes -- please.
Apparently, smoke really fucks the brain, too.
Amy Alkon
at August 2, 2009 11:09 PM
Do you have any idea what lung cancer costs? Any idea?
The same as most other diseases that kill you, and less than the rest.
And the cost to your friends is the same, either way, and it happens at about the same time.
For those who are already smoking in their twenties, and continue until they die, the average lifespan 81 years for women, and 72 years for men.
For never smokers, 88 and 80.
Yes, smoking takes some years off of life. Yes, it is a stupid habit (speaking as a never smoker).
But the notions that smokers cost more, or that smoking causes conspicuously early death are wrong.
You'll all be paying for my Ritalin? Please.
Well, yes, we all do. Insurance is pooled risk, after all.
Hey Skipper at August 3, 2009 12:36 AM
Damned foolishness.
Lets say we go with the "only pay for your own mistakes" type model. Sounds great in theory.
But then we get into the whole deal about calculating odds, diet regimens, and all sorts of other crap. The end result will be a close watching beaurocracy that is intrusive as anything else we presently bitch about.
Like waffles for breakfast, and you put syrup on it? Well, you didn't use low fat syrup and whole grain waffles, and you use butter too, well then no insurance for you. True that is a bit of an "extreme" possibility, but tell me something run by committee that is not carried to a logical absurdity?
Insurance SHOULD offer discounts for preventive self care, it SHOULD offer programs that cover preventive tests & other coverage.
But the further you carry these arguments for self paying, the further we go into intrusiveness into one another's private lives and personal pleasures.
I like to smoke, but I don't do it much. I smoke a cigar or three between 1 & 3 times per month. I also exercise rigorously. I bicycle everywhere, no less than 12 miles per day not counting intensive physical training 5 times per week as part of my job, nor my off duty exercise done on my own time, from swimming to lifting.
I also happen to enjoy waffles with lots of butter & syrup.
I don't cook (kitchens are my kryptonite) so I either order out, cook a tombstone pizza, or eat microwave meals. I'm sure y'all are aware those are not the healthiest of meals.
My point here is that our lives are not cut and dry good or bad ways to live, and any number of factors great or small can impact our health that have little to do with our actual habits.
So how do we measure our costs? How do we do that fairly?
There are limits to just how well we can do this.
I favor methods that encourage healthy behavior, I even favor penalizing people who grossly abuse their bodies and expect me to pay for it. But there is a different between the guy who goes to McDonalds to supersize 5 meals per day and then lays around the house, and the person more like myself, who simply indulges a bit here and there and is otherwise in ridiculously good shape. Should I be penalized in the same way?
And what role should family history play into all this? Should the person whose had both parents and both grandparents and two uncles die of cancer be charged the same as somebody whom has no family history of serious illness?
Its a complicated at best.
Robert at August 3, 2009 5:57 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1660891">comment from RobertWell, you didn't use low fat syrup and whole grain waffles, and you use butter too, well then no insurance for you.
You haven't been reading Gary Taubes. It's sugar, flour, and easily digestible starches that cause the insulin reaction that causes you to accumulate fat, not butter, bacon, hamburgers, cheese, which I eat all day, and remain slim as a paper cut.
Amy Alkon
at August 3, 2009 6:44 AM
Amy - neither have the food nazis.
They'd rather have you use low-fat salad dressing where the oil has been replaced with anti-freeze and corn syrup because they believe (sans evidence (HA!)) that fat is a Bad Thing.
brian at August 3, 2009 7:01 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1660900">comment from brianIdiots, idiots. I spend my day making sure I have enough fat so I won't be hungry. I can go for hours and hours on a sandwich baggie of about two cubes of cheese and five thick slices of one of those dry Italian salamis. Get 'em at Trader Joe's for a few bucks.
Amy Alkon
at August 3, 2009 7:06 AM
Amy, My 2 sons have ADD and are on medication. The insurance company makes me go monthly for check ups or I cannot refill. It obviously is a way to get money for the doctor, the insurance, and the pharmacy. It used to be every 3 months. Do you think though that twice a year is enough. Obviously you take care of yourself, but do you think that even on a low dosage, you should monitor a little more often. Then again, I'm not a doctor. I'm not telling you what to do, just curious.
Kristen at August 3, 2009 7:51 AM
When your cynicism needs to be expressed, you can go here to find a term to describe that vexing medical condition!
Radwaste at August 3, 2009 3:46 PM
'Toon.
Crid [CridComment @ gmail] at August 3, 2009 5:34 PM
"The insurance company makes me go monthly for check ups or I cannot refill."
Hmm. Can you trust that system to get the diagnosis itself right?
Radwaste at August 3, 2009 7:02 PM
They were diagnosed years ago before the insurance regulations changed. I have no doubt that my two sons have ADD and I cannot deny the positive things that the meds have done though I did fight putting them on anything. What I think is wrong is that the doctor even admits that its a waste to see them monthly, but his hands are tied because of the insurance.
Kristen at August 4, 2009 6:37 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2009/08/pink-ribbons-fo.html#comment-1661062">comment from Kristenhave ADD and I cannot deny the positive things that the meds have done though I did fight putting them on anything. What I think is wrong is that the doctor even admits that its a waste to see them monthly, but his hands are tied because of the insurance.
Probably has more to do with the dumb-ass drug laws. Ritalin is a Schedule 3 drug. I'm a 45-year-old woman who takes Ritalin to help me focus on writing, etc., and I'd really rather take nothing at all. I am not selling them on the playground, I'm taking them at my computer. I'm lucky that I've been able to convince these shrinks at Kaiser (only difficult with the one who is just retiring, who I didn't like too much) to see me every six months or so...whenever I run out of my stash. Give the appointment I could have monthly to somebody who really needs to talk to them.
Amy Alkon
at August 4, 2009 8:36 AM
I know many people who suffered accidents because of the absence of helmet.It is better to use a helmet while riding bikes.
motorcycle helmets at August 22, 2009 7:26 AM
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