Eight Reasons We Shouldn't Repeat All The Other Mistakes We've Made In The Middle East By Going Into Syria
At reason, Peter Suderman has a list of eight reasons the U.S. should avoid military intervention in Syria. Here are a few:
1. If the rebels win, it's bad news for the U.S. Assad is no friend to the U.S. But neither are the rebel groups leading the charge against the Syrian dictator. Indeed, many of the rebel factions have strong ties to Al-Qeada. If the rebels successfully oust Assad, it's entirely possible that they will attempt to set up a new regime that is intensely hostile to the United States. Intervention on the side of the rebels would also complicate America's already-fraught relationship with Russia, which is close with the Assad regime....3. It's far from certain that any "limited" actions would actually be effective. Most of the talk right now revolves around the possibility of limited cruise missile strikes and/or no-fly zone enforcement. But as the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Martin Dempsey told NPR last month, the possible results of enforcing a no-fly zone could "include the loss of U.S. aircraft, which would require us to insert personnel recovery forces. It may also fail to reduce the violence or shift the momentum because the regime relies overwhelmingly on surface fires -- mortars, artillery, and missiles." The same goes for targeted strikes. Here's how Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies explained it to the L.A. Times: "Can you do damage with cruise missiles? Yes," he said. "Can you stop them from having chemical weapons capability? I would think the answer would be no. Should you limit yourself to just a kind of incremental retaliation? That doesn't serve any strategic purpose. It doesn't protect the Syrian people, it doesn't push Assad out."
4. It's hard to keep limited actions limited. As Chairman Dempsey further cautioned, "Once we take action, we should be prepared for what comes next. Deeper involvement is hard to avoid." And then what?
5. There's no endgame. Not in Syria, where there seems to be no plan beyond a limited initial strike. And not in the region or the world, where the U.S. would be all but committing itself to opposing, through military force, chemical weapons regimes across the world. The problem is that there's no clearly stated long-term objective -- perhaps because no obvious long-term objective is achievable. Given that strikes are unlikely to completely eliminate Assad's chemical weapons capabilities or end Assad's capacity to slaughter through more conventional means, it's not clear what they would be for. Which means there would almost certainly be pressure to give them meaning by increasing America's commitment to the conflict.
Sorry, somebody please tell me again why Obama is so different from George Bush.








http://www.caintv.com/obama-et-al-discuss-syria-on-f
I found this hysterical.
Isab at August 27, 2013 10:00 PM
"5. There's no endgame"
That, of course, is the point. Just like in Iraq and Afghanistan. It's about keeping the contracts flowing - a conflict with no clear goals and no end in sight, why, that's perfect!
a_random_guy at August 27, 2013 11:30 PM
I see two possibilities:
1. Obama actually wants an excuse to send troops into Syria. If that's the case, I take back everything I said about him being not as bad as Bush. I mean, starting up with Iraq was bad, but at least we didn't have two other wars already going on at the time.
2. Obama just wants to look like he cares about the victims of Assad's "crimes against humanity" (this includes the possibility that he actually does care). In that case he has a perfect out. Go to the UN and ask them to intervene. When Russia and/or China veto the action, they look like the bad guys to the world. Obama gets brownie points for humanitarianism without having to get his hands dirty.
If neither Obama nor anyone in his circle of advisors is bright enough to figure this out. . . I take back everything I said about him being not as bad as Bush.
Rex Little at August 27, 2013 11:38 PM
It really doesn't matter if it is Bush or Obama. We're damned if we do or damned if we don't.
Goo at August 28, 2013 4:48 AM
The difference is that is we do, we tell Arabs once again that what we want to do is more important than their sovereignty. Imagine for a moment a Saudi attack on US soil. Pick a reason. Even if something truly heinous was going on, just what does a border mean?
Orwell, in Goldstein's book (approximately): It does not matter that the war cannot be won. The purpose of war is the consumption of human output.
It makes a fine distraction from American internal affairs. If some hottie intern did the President, the cruise missiles would have flown months ago.
Radwaste at August 28, 2013 5:28 AM
There's the Syria/Iran/Iraq conspiracy theory, of course...
NicoleK at August 28, 2013 5:53 AM
why don't we ask Saudi to intervene? Or any other local country? Don't Kuwait owe us one? And finally why don't we just mind our own business? Everyone always dislikes the person who keeps sticking their noses in everyone else's business: do we ever learn? Maybe we wouldn't need such an intrusive NSA is we kept the **** out of it all.
Mark at August 28, 2013 6:03 AM
At least Bush had a goal, however unrealistic it might have been. I don't even understand what the goal would be for this operation. To overthrow Assad? No point really, as Amy notes; there's a thousand more just like him waiting in line.
Here are a few reasons why we could potentially have an interest in Syria. This is not to say that we should be in Syria, but they are things that might be worth considering in making a decision:
1. To help protect Israel's security.
2. To help protect Mideast oil flows to Europe so that they do not become overly dependent on Russia.
3. To prevent Syria from becoming another Al Queda home country.
Has anything from the Administration addressed any of these goals, or how we might accomplish them? I haven't heard anything. Even if we decided that one or more of the above goals constituted sufficient justification, there's still the matter of how we would go about it, and, as noted above, what the engame would be -- what would constitute victory, and how we would guarantee our gains long term.
Cousin Dave at August 28, 2013 6:28 AM
If the rebels win, it's bad news for the U.S.
Unless you're Obama, and everything you've done in office so far seems to be done to help out the Islamists. He clearly is on their side (see: Egypt, Libya)
It's far from certain that any "limited" actions would actually be effective.
They would be effective at helping the Islamists gain control of yet another country (see: Egypt, Libya, etc.)
It's hard to keep limited actions limited.
That type of thinking requires...thinking. At least, thinking past the next election cycle or poll or interview with Oprah.
There's no endgame.
See first two points above. There is most certainly an "endgame". It's consistent with what he's been doing all along.
This isn't hard to figure out folks. Obama supports the islamists (see: Egypt, Libya, etc.) and will do whatever it takes to help them out.
mark n. at August 28, 2013 7:21 AM
I see this has a 14% approval rating, which proves that most Americans are smarter than their leaders.
It also proves killing people that have nothing to do with us half a world away is still more popular than Congress.
Where am I? This isn't the United States anymore.
MarkD at August 28, 2013 7:30 AM
Don't blame me. I voted for Ron Paul.
I actually said this to someone recently, and her response was, 'I liked him a lot, but it just seemed like a wasted vote.'
Makes sense. If everyone else is doing the wrong thing, why shouldn't YOU be part of the problem, too? Also, you get a free value meal if the candidate you vote for wins.
Pirate Jo at August 28, 2013 9:36 AM
So 100,000 dead from bullets and conventional weapons is fine. 1000 dead from poison gas and we goods to get involved?
lujlp at August 28, 2013 9:59 AM
Agree, luj. Syria is having a civil war, and people kill each other during civil wars. It's a bad thing, but frankly none of our business. Not that you can get those jugheads in our government to acknowledge that there is ever anything that is not our business.
Besides, how in holy hell are we supposed to pay for this? We have to borrow money just to cut Social Security checks.
Pirate Jo at August 28, 2013 10:32 AM
The Obama Administration is worse largely because fewer outlets, most notably the supposedly independent media, hold him accountable.
Trust at August 28, 2013 10:52 AM
George W. Bush checked with Congress before he committed the US military to action. Both his adventures (or misadventures) in Afghanistan and Iraq were done with Congressional approval.
Obama's adventure in Libya was done with only NATO approval and Congress was not consulted (much like Clinton's adventure in Serbia).
His numerous covert operations and drone strikes are mostly unsupervised as well.
Of course, to his apologists, it's not that he doesn't consult Congress, he simply doesn't consult this Congress ... because it's obstructionist (in other words, he can't get his own way so he takes his ball and goes home).
From Mary Anne Marsh, a Democratic consultant:
"There is a special Congress that we’re dealing with right now that has the lowest popularity rating in history and Republicans who overwhelmingly would oppose taking any action. The president of the United States cannot be handcuffed by the same Republicans that are holding the rest of the country hostage on every other issue. That is wrong."
She conveniently ignores the fact that Bush faced an obstructionist US Senate, yet still consulted Congress on major matters.
Link to interesting editorial by John Fund (where the Marsh quote came from): http://www.nationalreview.com/article/356978/obama-embraces-imperial-presidency-john-fund
Conan the Grammarian at August 28, 2013 12:28 PM
"Besides, how in holy hell are we supposed to pay for this? We have to borrow money just to cut Social Security checks."
Exhaust existing inventory and manpower, then block replenishment in favor of handouts to people who will vote for you.
Radwaste at August 28, 2013 1:07 PM
Inventory!? WHAT inventory?
Pirate Jo at August 28, 2013 6:34 PM
If you listen to Mike Church you would know that the declaration of war resides in the House:
Here is the pertinent section:
There is a reason it was made a responsibility of the House. The founding fathers knew the Senate was to represent the individual states to the federated government. The House was supposed to represent the voters of each state to the federated government. They would be the one's fighting and dying with their blood, treasure, and sacred honor. That should be the people's choice and not choice of some tyrannical president.
Jim P. at August 28, 2013 7:08 PM
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