The Nuances On Obamacare
Daniel P. Kessler writes in the WSJ that the best scholarly analyses of the Affordable Care Act suggest that it's neither the triumph trumpeted by its proponents nor the disaster suggested by its critics:
Obamacare has indeed reduced the number of Americans without insurance. According to a recent study in the journal Health Affairs, around 10 million previously uninsured people gained coverage in 2014--when most of the key provisions took effect--through expansions of Medicaid or the new "marketplaces" (subsidized insurance exchanges) created under Obamacare. The law thus reduced the number of uninsured people in the country from around 45 million (or 14% of the population) to 35 million (or 11%).Was this reduction in the number of uninsured worth the cost? A recent National Bureau of Economic Research study estimated the value of Medicaid to its recipients at between 20¢ and 40¢ per dollar of expenditure, with the majority of the value going to health-care providers like doctors and hospitals. By comparison, the Earned Income Tax Credit--a cash transfer program designed to enhance the incomes of the working poor--delivers around 90¢ of value to its recipients per dollar of expenditure. Given that more than half of Obamacare's reduction in the numbers of the uninsured has been from its expansion of Medicaid, this makes the law look more like welfare for the medical-industrial complex than support for the needy.
The root of Medicaid's weakness is the program's minimal effect on health. In 2008, the state of Oregon initiated an expansion of its Medicaid program, drawing names from a waiting list by lottery. The lottery created a rare opportunity to study the effects of Medicaid with the rigor of a randomized, controlled trial. An evaluation in the New England Journal of Medicine found that, after two years, the Oregon Medicaid expansion had no significant effects on beneficiaries' physical health, though it did reduce their self-reported financial strain and depression.
...What is needed now is an honest discussion of the fundamental trade-offs that we still face: between cost and coverage, incentives and generosity, markets and government.
Unfortunately, the way Obamacare was promoted to the American people has made this discussion difficult to have. The law was oversold in several ways.
Premiums haven't gone down. Many people who liked their old health plans haven't been able to keep them. The health benefits from expanding coverage have been elusive. And the macroeconomic consequences of the law have been negative: According to the Congressional Budget Office, the disincentives created by Obamacare--subsidies are phased out as beneficiaries' incomes rise--will reduce the number of hours worked by 1.5% to 2% from 2017 to 2024.
A WSJ commenter with an example from the workplace:
John Trottman
Here is a real life example of how a company employing hourly security guards avoided being penalized.ACA say they must offer an "Affordable" plan that meets "Bronze" standards.
Affordable means you cannot charge them more than 9.5% of their wages for single coverage. You do NOT have to cover spouses (so they didn't offer) and you can charge the full amount to the employee to cover kids (which they did).So these employees were offered a $5,500 deductible plan for 9.5% of their wages. Out of 6,000 employees, 180 enrolled. And the rest? Since their employer offered affordable coverage at the bronze level, they do not qualify for a subsidy on the exchanges.
This is the type of garbage the Pelosi & company put out daily.
More from the same guy:
John Trottman
Sure let's not mention what additional burdens ACA has placed on businesses. The same businesses that were struggling to recover only to have more taxes, expenses and reporting responsibilities thrust upon them.
* The pass through to the consumer Health Insurer Fee Excise tax at 3% to 4.5% of premium. For a 100 employee company that is the equivalent of $75,000.
* Transitional Reinsurance Fee.
* PCORI Fee.
* Covering bum kids to age 26 with no questions asked.
* Everything HHS says is preventative must be free. Free for the employer to fund 100% of the cost.
* Modifying W-2's to show premium paid. This is a lead up to taxing benefits in 2018.
* If you are employed, ask your HR department about the ACA reporting they are struggling with. Get ready to be yelled at.
It is all just a government grab, plain and simple.
Here's a comment that reflects some of the idiocy of Obamacare:
Jeff Funk
All I can tell you is our own health plan (which suited our situation quite well, thank you very much) was cancelled due to it not meeting the maternity requirements (we were in our 50s). Now our 'government approved' plan is 45% more expensive and offers far less covereage than our 'free market' plan. But wait...at least we have maternity coverage should my wife (who is now 60) becomes pregnant. What a joke.
Another view:
Mike Schmidt
Obamacare is actually a massive success - depending on your perspective. The goals of obamacare never had anything to do with improving peoples' healthcare - they were always about controlling people, tax increases, the insurance lobby, and govt. expansion.








Don't forget the laughably token efforts to increase the physician population.
Rob McMillin at December 21, 2015 11:10 PM
A couple of months ago my company sent out an email about the upcoming changes to the health plan. The largest change was that people with a working spouse who declined their company's care because ours was better, would have to pay a nice chunk out of pocket to continue to do this. Now this makes perfect sense and I'm actually shocked they kept giving these people what amounted to a bunch more free coverage (not to mention essentially larger compensation then a similarly single person) for all this time. The rules change was driven mostly by continually rising costs and the new obamacare stuff kicking in in 2016
Man, you should've heard the wailing and gnashing of teeth over this change. I loved how quite a few people were quick to point out that most of those compaining were the same people that were all for the new law. So they're finally reaping what they sowed, and don't like the taste. One of the whole points of obamacare was that all companies "pay their share" which wasn't happening before in these situations.
Miguelitosd at December 22, 2015 12:34 AM
It's amazing when people complain that they can't keep getting something for "free," when it's really just something somebody other than the beneficiary is paying for.
That's what I told a woman on Twitter who said her premium was $250 lower under Obamacare. That cost hasn't gone away. Again, just somebody other than she is paying for it. And that's not right -- not unless you are mentally ill or physically incapacitated and thus unable to financially care for yourself.
Amy Alkon at December 22, 2015 6:09 AM
But, but, but, The Affordable Healthcare Act is Obama's signature legislation.
Or so we keep being told.
And every time, someone says that I keep saying, yep, history will remember Obama for that just like Nixon is remembered for Watergate.
charles at December 22, 2015 7:09 AM
On the spouse thing: It was inevitable that because the ACA contains so many mandates for cheap or free services, that the cost of services not regulated would go way up. Coverage for children is under mandate and the insurers cannot go up on it very much. So they make it up by soaking on spouse coverage. I am now paying 3x the individual premium to cover my spouse. And the charge now applies whether the spouse is covered by another plan or not. We actually thought this year about having her go back to her employer's insurance, but their plan is very poor -- it's essentially an HMO and all but a handful of providers are categorized as "out of network" for which benefits are minimal. (That's another aspect of the ACA -- all plans are effectively turning into HMOs, even if they aren't called that.)
A hugely overlooked aspect of this whole mess is that the bulk of the new coverage is due to the Medicaid expansion (which was and still is not funded). That could have been accomplished without bothering with the ACA at all. It just goes to demonstrate what a dog and pony show the ACA is.
Cousin Dave at December 22, 2015 7:27 AM
Please notice that "nor the disaster" depends on the definition of success being, "policies issued".
A policy is not treatment.
When measured against treatment options actually delivered, the Act is an unmitigated disaster.
Radwaste at December 22, 2015 9:58 AM
What Raddy said. It's very hard to argue that Obamacare hasn't decreased treatment options for the vast majority. You can argue that some of the people who became eligible for Medicaid have improved options, although given Medicaid's notorious bureaucracy and inflexibility, even that's debatable. (And the lack of correlation between Medicaid and outcomes suggest that Medicaid isn't actually an improvement over the other means that the target class of people use to obtain treatment.)
Cousin Dave at December 22, 2015 10:57 AM
And since the Earned Income Tax Credit got mentioned, let's not forget what a disaster that is. Among the class of people who receive it, it is almost universally viewed as a "jackpot" payment, to be spent on frivolities. Hardly any of it remains in the recipient's possession 30 days later.
Cousin Dave at December 22, 2015 11:00 AM
Honestly I'm considering dropping insurance. I got transferred from a PPO to an HMO. I need to call all my doctors and see what insurance they plan to accept next year and see what my options are. Paying cash is certainly cheaper.
Ben at December 22, 2015 12:01 PM
I like the part about reducing depression and financial stress... since I stopped getting window-envelopes demanding money from my old insurance provider, my stress and depression evaporated.
jefe at December 22, 2015 6:27 PM
I think we are done with insurance for next year. The doctors can't say what insurance they will take. Any insurance we can afford doesn't look like it includes health care. And there aren't any insurances that cost less than the tax. So why bother with the whole system? It is cheaper to pay cash.
Ben at December 23, 2015 2:48 PM
Leave a comment