Peter Pan Projects -- Big Green Failures
"Peter Pan projects" is my name for those projects people really, really want to believe in. And basically, the idea is that if it's green it'll work out great.
But wait...the thinking surely can't be that simple when it comes to massive, expensive, taxpayer funded "sustainability" projects, you think.
Actually, it's exactly that simple.
The greener a project is, it seems the less likely people are to do the math, or if they do the math, to take any sort of hard look at the math.
An example of this is solar roads. Ross Marchand writes at FEE:
Surprise--solar panels don't make great roads. The French government recently learned this the hard way after debuting a $6 million solar road in Normandy in 2016. The road generated about half as much power as expected, and costs exceeded any reasonable expectation for a road...or even a solar panel.An American experiment in solar roads fared similarly. In 2016, the Daily Caller reported that
roughly 25 out of 30 panels installed in a prototype solar road in Idaho broke within a week--after the project received $3.9 million in funding [some of which from the Department of Transportation] and 6.5 years of development.These colossal development failures speak not only to solar roads but also to "renewable" projects in general, where hype rarely matches reality. Lawmakers around the world should think twice before lavishing "cutting-edge" technology with subsidies and making taxpayers foot the bill for the inevitable failures that result.
Over the past few decades, a predictable pattern has emerged: Governments tout cool-sounding renewable energy technologies, but promises and funding fall flat because of the biases and inefficiencies of the public sector.
In 1991, scholars Linda Cohen and Roger Noll found that "American political institutions introduce predictable systematic biases to R&D programs so that on balance, government projects will be susceptible to performance underruns and cost overruns." This trend is especially evident in the billions of dollars in subsidies showered on wind turbines, solar panels, and electric vehicles.
The waste permeates at all levels, from the initial development of a technology to the financing of the finished product. The go-to example for government funding gone awry is Solyndra, a bankrupt solar start-up that swindled the Department of Energy (DOE), i.e. taxpayers, of $500 million in loan guarantees in 2011.
What's the greenest of all? The uncoolest of all with many or most of the greens: Nyu-cular power.








I wish they would get off their asses and build more nuclear. :(
NicoleK at August 24, 2019 1:34 AM
When alternative power is viable, someone in the private sector will make a fortune with it.
Until then, research is needed. The government can fund research and can be excellent provider of pure research money through universities and research foundations. However, when the government expects specific outcomes, or promises them, the funding is wasted because the actual outcome never matches the promised one.
In the meantime, a lot of pure research today is being funded privately, through university grants, bequests, foundations, and entrepreneurs hoping to make a killing on the results - e.g., Elon Musk. This is not new, even though the media and celebrities act like it is.
Solyndra was a failure because the government invested OPM for results no entity could have delivered at that point in solar power generation. Too much pure research is still needed before a practical application can be developed.
Too many people today think it's just "flip a switch" and we'll invent this. We've been monkeying with solar power and electric cars for over 100 years and this is as far as we've gotten. It's a bit more complex than developing an app for your smart phone.
Conan the Grammarian at August 24, 2019 7:50 AM
This is one of those issues that illustrates the difference between idiots and rational people.
EVERY highway in the USA, no matter how built, gets resurfaced every so often because, SURPRISE, having traffic on them wears them out. A truck over 60,000 pounds produces measurable deflection of most road surfaces. A hopping car tire, out of balance, beats on the road like a hammer.
But somebody said, "Hey! Let's not put our solar panels on the right-of-way, of comparable area - let's put them directly under traffic!"
And this was approved by somebody who knew it wasn't HIS money. Screw that taxpayer!
Radwaste at August 24, 2019 8:50 AM
Even for pure research the government isn't an efficient producer. It is one of the seemingly counterintuitive things, since research and technology is so important to economic development it is important for the government to do as little of it as possible.
Ben at August 24, 2019 1:46 PM
When people put their own money up (like investing in a power plant or building one) they do the math. Not with "free" money.
cc at August 24, 2019 3:03 PM
With pure research, there isn't usually a direct payoff, a calculable ROI. It's what the pure research leads to that pays off - usually for the entity smart enough to take it and run with it.
That's why government makes an adequate funder of pure research. It can pay for something that will benefit society in the long run without itself bringing a product to market. Private entities funding pure research expect to own the research and get a payoff from what can be developed from it and brought to market.
Solyndra became a problem because the government was investing in the market end of the process, something government has no business or expertise in doing. It gambled with taxpayer money and lost.
Conan the Grammarian at August 24, 2019 3:21 PM
Re: the resurfacing of roads
The government finally got off their collective butts and the six or seven blocks in my immediate area have been resurfaced recently. I told my husband that we received an indignant letter from the Squirrels, Chipmunks, Possums, Mice, and Dinosaur Descendants Association in the area complaining that their local swimming pools have been taken from them.
He reminded me that the Old Bold Biker in Our Family (my strength and agility are sadly no longer up to it) is very grateful for the lack of deep potholes.
Grandma Elizabeth at August 24, 2019 5:51 PM
Back when I was an electronics engineer, I worked for a military contractor which occasionally took on private-sector jobs. The standing joke was that a military product only had to meet spec; the other kind had to actually work.
Rex Little at August 24, 2019 6:51 PM
"That's why government makes an adequate funder of pure research."
I'm going to demand proof of that.
Last batch of data I saw actually showed the opposite. The more nations directly fund research (of any type, blue sky included) the slower research progressed. Bureaucracies are inherently inefficient and government funding doesn't happen in a vacuum. The money and more significantly the people they use could be used more efficiently elsewhere.
NASA is a good example for this. Their projects follow the traditional over sold and hence under funded model. Which means that a lot of the time their researchers aren't actually working. Or at least not at anything significant. Since the project is underfunded in order to get approval to start the project and people have to be paid first you end up with very intelligent and valuable people wasting their time because there is no money left over for materials to work with. Private groups who waste resources like that don't survive and the resources get transferred to other more efficient groups.
I understand it is a religious catechism that government should fund pure research projects. But I've seen little proof to back it up.
Ben at August 25, 2019 7:00 AM
A curious thing about gov grants is that successful grant-getters in the sciences depend on an army of grad students to actually do the work. While it is true that the genius prof set it all up, it is totally inexperienced students who are doing the work. Not ideal.
cc at August 25, 2019 9:49 AM
Should?
I never said "should," Ben. I said government can be "an adequate funder of pure research."
Conan the Grammarian at August 25, 2019 12:38 PM
I still say provide some proof of that Conan.
Ben at August 25, 2019 5:53 PM
Proof that the government can give away money? Well, um, sure, Ben. Check the federal budget.
Conan the Grammarian at August 25, 2019 6:20 PM
"While it is true that the genius prof set it all up, it is totally inexperienced students who are doing the work. Not ideal."
And of course, the other problem there is that the genius prof is spending most of his time thrashing through the grant process, rather than working on the subject matter that he's a genius at.
Cousin Dave at August 26, 2019 7:08 AM
How about that adequate word Conan. You didn't say they just could fund research. Of course they can.
"Even for pure research the government isn't an efficient producer." ~Ben
"With pure research, there isn't usually a direct payoff, a calculable ROI. It's what the pure research leads to that pays off - usually for the entity smart enough to take it and run with it.
That's why government makes an adequate funder of pure research." ~Conan
I say provide proof of your assertions! I still stand by mine that you will get more quality pure research if the government doesn't do it.
Ben at August 26, 2019 8:42 AM
Ben, you and Conan are both right. "Adequate" isn't the same as "best", "ideal" or "most efficient". For that matter, without a definition of what constitutes adequacy, Conan's statement can't be challenged.
Rex Little at August 26, 2019 8:36 PM
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