Axing A Girl Out
You overlooked the danger when you replied to the woman who was invited on a hiking date by a man she'd had a crush on. You said that he probably got interested because he saw her with her new boyfriend. Well, he could also have wanted to murder her because of that. Every year, there's news of a female body being found in a remote area -- or not found after a disappearance.
--Prudent Woman
Recall that this guy spent seven years barely noticing this woman before noticing she had a boyfriend and asking her out. This is not exactly the behavior of a man obsessed, brimming with jealous rage. Chances are, he just thought, "Hmm, I could hit that." (And I very much doubt he meant "over the head with a shovel.")
How likely is it that a date could end in a shallow grave? Well, according to the Bureau of Justice Statistics, in 2005, 513 women in the U.S. were murdered by "boyfriends" (men they were dating but not married to) and 164 men were murdered by "girlfriends." (And yes, men, too, are victims of domestic violence, much of which goes unreported.) These intimate partner murder stats are a bit unreliable because the FBI doesn't always identify the perp/victim relationship, but even if you include the 2,363 uncategorized murders of women, a woman's chances of being a victim of "dinner and a murder" are seriously small. Divide the 513 number by the population of unmarried American women ages 15 to 64 -- 45,752,000, per a 2009 Census Bureau sample -- and a woman has an 11 in a million chance of getting offed by her date. (Statistically, she's far more likely to speak Cherokee.)
Of course, those odds of getting murdered really only apply if she's anywoman on anydate with anyman. Unfortunately, partly because people are reluctant to be seen as "blaming the victim," there's a politically correct popular notion that intimate partner violence happens at random, to random victims, kind of like an air conditioner falling out of a high window just as you're underneath walking the dog.
But, various authorities on violence, including personal security expert Gavin de Becker and domestic violence researcher Jacquelyn Campbell, have independently identified very similar coercive, autonomy-limiting behaviors in men who murder their female partners. These behaviors echo the four items from a 1993 Statistics Canada survey that researchers Martin Daly and Margo Wilson noted were strong predictors that a woman will experience serious violence from a male partner: "1. He is jealous and doesn't want you to talk to other men; 2. He tries to limit your contact with family or friends; 3. He insists on knowing who you are with and where you are at all times; 4. He calls you names to put you down or make you feel bad."
Although government agencies and victim assistance organizations parrot the politically correct warning that intimate partner violence "can happen to anyone," the truth is, certain women are more likely to be victimized, and research shows a stew of contributing social, financial, and cultural factors. (Poverty and prior experience of family violence are two biggies.) Amazingly, there's almost no research showing the particular psychology that might make one more prone to get into (and stay in) a physically violent relationship. (In the scant findings there are, researchers are unable to tease out whether, say, low self-esteem precipitated victimization or was caused by it.) But, it seems likely that women who have low self-worth, who are "pleasers," and who have abandonment issues -- women who are more likely to stay in emotionally abusive relationships -- are more likely to stay in physically abusive ones. De Becker, in his vast experience with victims and victimizers, concurs, observing in "The Gift of Fear" that "men who cannot let go choose women who cannot say no."
The muzzle of political correctness -- intended to protect the feelings of victims -- actually makes women more likely to be victimized by stifling discussion about who becomes a victim and how they might prevent it. Interestingly, the bounds of political correctness don't extend to how we portray men. But, demonizing all men as deadly is like demonizing crossing the street because many people die each year at intersections (983 in 2009). A better idea is to look both ways. In relationships, this means assessing your individual risk for victimization and fixing feelings of low self-worth instead of trying to plaster over them with a partner -- a partner you may feel compelled to cling to no matter what. In dating, this means engaging your judgment -- not going off into the woods with some guy you barely know but also not seeing life as one giant "Law & Order" episode: "Hey, pretty lady...in the mood for a murder-suicide, or would you rather just see a movie?"








Every year, there's news of a female body being found in a remote area -- or not found after a disappearance.
Jesus, one every year? So, that's one out of approximately 117000000 women over the age of eighteen in the United States, which means I have a .00000000855% chance of being murdered by a guy who asks me on a hike. Though I guess the numbers go way up since this woman knows the guy, so let's multiply times a thousand and call it a .00000855% chance. I better hire an armed escort.
As long as we're cataloging potential dangers, the original LW also has a chance the guy wanted to lure her to a secluded spot to sell her some Confederated Products.
NumberSix at January 24, 2012 9:14 PM
Confederated Products—it's a different company, and it's a different quality of product.
Razor at January 25, 2012 5:20 AM
Thank you for trying to set the record straight.
There is so much sensationalizing out there designed to make women fear and hate all men. But it ignores reality. Sometimes the truth of numbers is what it takes to break through it all. I do find it interesting that more die getting hit at intersections than die at the hands of bfs.
Too many women believe the constantly repeated lies: 1/4 of women raped while in college, #1 cause of death for pregnant women is BF, DV is only done by men, so is child abuse. All lies.
Joe J at January 25, 2012 7:02 AM
This letter is another example of worst-first thinking. I hate to see the way people are trading freedom for fear. There's no evidence to suggest that the man she's referring to might be violent, but he's a MAN and it COULD happen. The odds don't matter, only the most minuscule chance that something bad MIGHT happen.
Better idea: carry a concealed weapon, take self-defense training, and go live your life!
The Original Kit at January 25, 2012 7:10 AM
And then sometimes the violence does seem to come out of nowhere. My ex husband and I were together for 8 years and he was never violent, except for that one time at the very end when he tried to strangle me.
But the end of our marriage was emotionally charged. Going on a hike in the woods with someone who barely paid attention to you before is not. Being afraid of everyone around us is a great way to make ourselves crazy. And alone.
MonicaP at January 25, 2012 7:19 AM
strong predictors that a woman will experience serious violence from a male partner: "1. He is jealous and doesn't want you to talk to other men; 2. He tries to limit your contact with family or friends; 3. He insists on knowing who you are with and where you are at all times; 4. He calls you names to put you down or make you feel bad."
Quite a few wives and long term girlfriends exhibit these behaviors. Does that mean the danger signs could be summed up as, when a man starts to behave like a woman?
Old Guy at January 25, 2012 7:46 AM
This is why I date men. The only thing we're concerned with is whether or not we'll get laid on the first date. And the possibility of getting murdered makes it even more exciting.
Razor at January 25, 2012 8:05 AM
Holy crap! With the LW's outlook on life, how does she manage to find the strength to get outta bed in the morning? I said hi to the mailman the other day. I should probably have a background check done on him before ever speaking to him again. I can't believe I escaped with my life!! I've heard stories about those postal workers...WTF?
Renee at January 25, 2012 9:25 AM
THANK YOU Amy for showing us some real stats to call into question the ridiculous extent to which fear has begun to run our lives!
You think it's bad when it comes to dating? Well this fear-mongering culture of ours hits a critical peak when it comes to parenting. Apparently there are kidnappers and molesters lurking everywhere! Even in your locked car when you run into the post office to drop a letter in the box!
Lori M at January 25, 2012 9:57 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/ag-column-archives/2012/01/axing-a-girl-ou.html#comment-2933592">comment from Lori MThank you so much, Lori. Worked really, really hard to dig the good data from the bad here.
Amy Alkon
at January 25, 2012 10:04 AM
Happily married now, but I was a Very Bad Girl for a very long time, and certainly, uh, kept company with a considerable number of men I barely knew, including picking up total strangers and taking them home or going to a No Tell Motel. I have never been hit. I have never been threatened. The worst that happened was some less-than-stellar sex.
OTOH, I am patently an aggressive woman with an attitude. I'm guessing that I scared off at least a few men who were looking for an easy-to-victimize woman. Had this conversation with a male friend years ago, when I said that no man had ever laid hands on me in anger. He grinned, looked me up and down, and said "That's 'cause you look like you'd fuck 'em up real good if they tried." I think there's more than a little truth to that.
Dana at January 25, 2012 10:06 AM
"Better idea: carry a concealed weapon, take self-defense training, and go live your life!"
Potential downside: "Your Honor, I'm innocent. He's a man, and when we disagreed about root beer, I feared violence, so I had to shoot him!"
Old RPM Daddy at January 25, 2012 10:26 AM
Here's a challenge for all women. On a slip of paper, write your answer to the following:
Describe men.
What is your positive/negative ratio?
The reverse is applicable, having men answer to "Describe women", but for today's world, the women's answer is the more interesting one.
hadsil at January 25, 2012 10:27 AM
Here's a challenge for all women. On a slip of paper, write your answer to the following: Describe men.
I would never take that challenge. It's like saying "describe people."
We suck. We're awesome. We fall somewhere in between. Sometimes we're all three in the span of 10 minutes.
Knowing people puts us at risk for terrible things happening. Spending our lives alone in the fetal position is pretty terrible, too, so it's worth the trouble to not be afraid of everyone.
MonicaP at January 25, 2012 10:51 AM
An absolutely wonderful, lucid explanation of why women are being taught unnecessary fear -and believe it. Thanks so much for doing it. You are exactly the right person to take this on. hs surrounding
Sadly, the same is true or our children - so many parents are teaching their children to live in unnecessary fear and not enjoy our world.
You really are on a roll, what with your recent column busting the myths surrounding herpes.
AntoniaB at January 25, 2012 11:32 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/ag-column-archives/2012/01/axing-a-girl-ou.html#comment-2933863">comment from AntoniaBThank you so much, AntoniaB. Means a lot to be recognized for the work I put into these.
Amy Alkon
at January 25, 2012 11:46 AM
You guys have totally screwed up my plans to ask my friend of seven years on a hike and hit her on the head with a shovel.
I mean, the plan was PERFECT.
Damn you.
Gog_Magog_Carpet_Reclaimers at January 25, 2012 12:49 PM
"There is so much sensationalizing out there designed to make women fear and hate all men. But it ignores reality."
The worst part is that many men have bought into it too, and are complicit in demonizing men.
AnonDude at January 25, 2012 2:19 PM
Old RPM Daddy,
Yes, but that's on the same order of the guy spending 7 years "grooming" his victim before asking her out for a hike to murder her.
The Original Kit at January 25, 2012 5:37 PM
Love it Gog Magog! Too funny~
Also loved it that Amy was able to turn a seriously screwed up letter and turn it into an informative article. The LW must have sent it in as a joke, not expecting to be published. I mean, murder in the woods? Really? I do agree that we have entered a hyper sensitive era of shampoo sniffing dogs and peanut police, but even the LW can't be that whacky.
Angel at January 25, 2012 6:24 PM
You have to admit, it could happen.
On the other hand, it's a statistical certainty you're going to die, sometime, so shouldn't you take some reasonable chances and have some fun first?
Let me parrot the previous well deserved praise, Amy. This is great, and you might consider expanding it into a book. The innumerate are easily led. We get it from our government, our politicians, banks, corporations, unions....
I have this train I'd like to sell California...
MarkD at January 25, 2012 8:27 PM
And the thing is... if you get raped you can always choose to look at it as God's plan* for you to have that baby who will make you a whole person. It says nothing in the Bible about everyone getting the candlelight dinner and the roses and the romance when making babies is concerned. Sometimes it's a little more difficult, but that doesn't mean that the resulting bundle of joy is any less a miracle. Unless it's gay.
*Thank you, Rick Santorum
Razor at January 26, 2012 11:39 AM
Another usefull number is the classical odds of being struck by lightning. WHich a quick google search gave me numbers between 370 and 1000/ yr
so the odds of being killed by bf are about the same as being struck by lightning.
Puts things in perspective.
Joe J at January 26, 2012 1:05 PM
74% of suicides are male, and the leading cause of male suicide is DIVORCE.
jefe at January 26, 2012 7:41 PM
Hey Magog, Wanna go out?
bobbie at January 26, 2012 8:04 PM
Somewhat OT, but also kind of related -
The warning about the danger is roughly on the level of what is mentioned in this article.
"Schrodinger's Rapist", indeed.
WayneB at January 27, 2012 12:14 PM
Uhh, Im sorry, but when people start going on about rape culture, "Teh Patriarchy", and how fear inducing it is for a guy to try and hit on a woman I just cant take them seriously
lujlp at January 27, 2012 3:02 PM
One of the most famous cases of being killed in the "woods" was Chandra Levy. It brought down CongressRat Gary Condit
I bet if you asked questions, in the nature of Jay Leno's Jaywalking, they would still associate Levy and Condit, and think he was involved.
Between the American public having the attention span of a gnat, and the large-scale media having the ability to dredge out the bad, but somehow fail to report the good, you end up with the distorted views that are held.
Very good response Amy!
Jim P. at January 28, 2012 7:27 PM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/ag-column-archives/2012/01/axing-a-girl-ou.html#comment-2942053">comment from Jim P.Thank you so much -- worked like hell on it!
Amy Alkon
at January 28, 2012 7:38 PM
Kinda sorta off the topic (more of a tangent). Statistics say basically any damn thing anyone wants them to say. Putting it in perspective makes all the difference.
I remember debating a guy a couple of years ago that had numbers from a study that indicated that pregnant women were being killed by guns at a higher rate than some other number of something somewhere. A terrible tragedy! Oh noes! He was all worked up over it and I went to the original source and found out the results were written in such a way that backed up some anti-gun brigade's policy.
The study took place in Washington DC and it showed that among pregnant women (pulling this out of my elbow since I can't recall exactly) , a large percentage of pregnant women that died from any reason were killed by gunshot. Obviously this means pregnant women are being targeted, right? Umm. nope. Those GSW deaths were almost all in the unmarried 14-21 year old bracket, minority and under 45 days pregnant. Basically, they may not have even known they were pregnant. Sounds like gang bangers to me. And the overall number of deaths was actually fairly small.
The man tried to say that all pregnant women were targets and blah blah blah.
It is always interesting to see how people interpret the info.
LauraGr at January 29, 2012 11:01 AM
a woman has an 11 in a million chance of getting offed by her date. . . . In dating, this means engaging your judgment -- not going off into the woods with some guy you barely know.
JD at January 29, 2012 3:27 PM
"Quite a few wives and long term girlfriends exhibit these behaviors. Does that mean the danger signs could be summed up as, when a man starts to behave like a woman?"
Thought this was quite insightful. Women behave jealously, don't want their guy talking to other girls, monitor his whereabouts, and often create ridiculous conflicts within his family. So, are those the same predictors for violence in women?
LS at January 31, 2012 5:07 AM
Amy Alkon
https://www.advicegoddess.com/ag-column-archives/2012/01/axing-a-girl-ou.html#comment-2946790">comment from LSLittle research has been done on men in this arena.
Amy Alkon
at January 31, 2012 5:21 AM
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