Business Week On TSA: Airport "Security" Is Making Americans Less Safe
"$100 billion spent and not one risk analysis study," wrote the engineering prof friend of mine who sent me this link from a Charles Kenny piece in Business Week:
In 2010 the National Academy of Science reported the lack of "any Department of Homeland Security risk analysis capabilities and methods that are yet adequate for supporting decision making." DHS (and the TSA in particular) is spending huge bundles of large denomination bills completely blind.All this spending on airline security is worse than wasteful. Following the official rules while still attempting to show decency toward passengers all but forces TSA employees to delay, embarrass, and inconvenience many thousands every day. Faced with the prospect of such unpleasantries this holiday season, countless Americans will skip the flight to grandma's house and drive instead.
But compare the dangers of air travel with those of driving. To make flying as dangerous as using a car, a four-plane disaster on the scale of 9/11 would have to occur every month, according to analysis published in the American Scientist. Researchers at Cornell University estimate that people switching from air to road transportation in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks led to an increase of 242 driving fatalities per month--which means that a lot more people died on the roads as an indirect result of 9/11 than died from being on the planes that terrible day. The Cornell researchers also suggest that enhanced domestic baggage screening reduced passenger volume by about 5 percent in the five years after 9/11, and the substitution of driving for flying by those seeking to avoid security hassles over that period resulted in more than 100 road fatalities.
That's not to say TSA employees bear responsibility for making the roads more dangerous--they're just following incentives that reward slavish attention to rules over common sense. ... Instead, the blame lies with politicians, the media, and yes, the traveling public, who will skewer officials over a single fatal plane incident while ignoring car crashes, gun homicides, and even bathtub accidents that kill far more than terrorism does.
The TSA should be encouraged in its efforts to expand lower-hassle approaches to airport security that don't dissuade people from using one of the very safest ways to travel. Washington should ask itself why it values the life of an airplane passenger so much more than a bus or train passenger (or the daredevil bath-taker) in terms of the time-wasting, expense, and invasions of privacy it's willing to tolerate to protect them from harm.







In the end, it's their choice. The stats have always been there. Free will does not a murder make. Nice try.
Knowing at November 24, 2012 1:13 AM
Amy Alkon
http://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2012/11/24/business_week_o.html#comment-3471930">comment from KnowingWhere's your name, brave "Knowing," who uses my bandwidth to make all these anonymous attacks on me?
Amy Alkon
at November 24, 2012 2:01 AM
Amy Alkon
http://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2012/11/24/business_week_o.html#comment-3471994">comment from Amy AlkonGuess what: "Knowing" is yet another government thug. I looked up his posts from within my software, and there was another IP address he'd posted from previously -- from the Department of Homeland Security. I have to go out, but I'll post more on this. Yet again, as with thug blogger Bob, we've got a government employee, most Orwellianly, going after an American citizen while on the taxpayer dime -- without feeling compelled to identify himself.
I have to go out, but here's the IP address I pulled and searched from one of "Knowing"'s comments.
216.81.81.84 IP address location & more:
IP address [?]: 216.81.81.84 Copy [Whois] [Reverse IP]
IP country code: US
IP address country: ip address flag United States
IP address state: District of Columbia
IP address city: Washington
IP postcode: 20229
IP address latitude: 38.8933
IP address longitude: -77.0146
ISP of this IP [?]: Department Of Homeland Security
Organization: Department Of Homeland Security
Host of this IP: [?]: cbcp4.dhs.gov [Whois] [Trace]
Local time in United States: 2012-11-24 05:35
Amy Alkon
at November 24, 2012 2:39 AM
The TSA is morphing into the USPD, which will be "a civilian national security force that’s just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded" as our military. And it will be considered unlawful to "hack" them by looking at their IP address or, as with so many local police forces, to record them. And 51% of the voters will accept it with smug happiness.
See you in the Job Re-Training Camp, Amy.
(Through the wire, i mean. Hain't gonna be co-ed.)
Storm Saxon's Gall Bladder at November 24, 2012 3:37 AM
Well "Knowing" isn't that interesting. A government employee on a government computer system going going toe to toe with a private citizen.
I'd say that is misuse of government resources. All employees are required to be familiar with what constitutes misuse of resources. I'm fairly sure that counts.
I wonder which this should be regarded as and which way it should be handled?
A. Contact the DoHS and inform them of the misuse of government resources.
B. File a congressional complaint and report that the Department of Homeland Security employees are using government resources to go after bloggers who speak out against the government.
C. Just spread it around the internet that DoHS employees use government resources to harass private citizens on the citizen's dime.
None of that looks pretty. Maybe "Knowing" you should bother to KNOW, something about what you should and should not be doing on a government system. Maybe you should remember your own policies. I'm pretty sure we're not so Orwellian yet that you are actually being paid to harass citizens that speak out against the government.
SO, may we now get your actual name so you may retain at least SOME dignity when you are reported to your supervisor for misuse of resources? And to let them know the bar has now been dropped so low that they're hiring people to stupid to realize that with an IP address the individual system and who accessed it is all readily available to the IT department, which can then follow through with the relevant disciplinary action.
You know, when you login to that government computer, and it pops up with that little message, informing you that you consent to monitoring? Yeah, you are actually monitored. I used to work for the Information Assurance department during my last deployment, all sorts of wonderful toys they have, can track down everything a user does on a system.
See I know these things, because I'm a federal employee myself. Military branch, but 6 of one half dozen of the other. But "I" don't use government resources to go after citizens. I DEFEND their rights.
Maybe you should consider doing the same. You know, like what your job SHOULD BE.
Please do not take these things as threats, threats or ambiguous, this is a simple statement of fact, you are in direct violation of your acceptable use policy, I can all but promise you that, you are also a government employee acting to verbally accost one of the citizens YOU WORK FOR. This is NOT acceptable behavior by a government employee at any level, LEAST of all the federal level in a department that is meant to serve the public's best interests.
And don't try to play this off as if you are doing your job right now, Public Affairs offices exist for a reason, to address, officially, complaints, concerns, and put out the official line or respond to inquiries or allegations made publicly. YOU are no way working in public affairs.
I'd wager good odds that you read that TSA blogger, or this citizen's interactions with him, and you decided on your own to use government resources to make a response to a citizen's free speech. At least the blogger, if I understand correctly, actually does that for his job. (Whether the position should exist doesn't matter, the point is HE is doing what he is supposed to, YOU, are not.)
Robert at November 24, 2012 5:34 AM
Bah, I've overstepped a bit I believe. Miss Alkon I leave it to you.
You are well within your rights to report the misuse of government resources.
There is NO acceptable circumstance under which a government employee on government systems on government time should ever be harassing a private citizen engaged in the act of free speech. I'm not sure if it is worse, or better, that he is doing so anonymously as a citizen, rather than officially.
I don't give a shit WHAT their personal feelings are, we're held to a higher standard than that.
Oh and "Knowing" just so that you "know" something in the future, that might be useful to you, if you come across speech such as Miss Alkon's again, the professional response would be to notify the appropriate PR department which specializes in dealing with the public and addressing concerns.
Not going on a long winded spiel that is full of passion, half truths, insults, and justifications. Just do your job, and if you MUST resort to the aforementioned spiel, do it from home, on your own time.
Robert at November 24, 2012 5:40 AM
Knowing: "In the end, it's their choice. The stats have always been there. Free will does not a murder make."
@Knowing: What the hell are you talking about? You've posted a lot of sentences and paragraphs, but no coherent thoughts. It's apparent that you dislike Ms Alkon because of her objections to the despicable activities of TSA employees, but so far you've made no clear argument as to why you think she's wrong. The only thing you've made clear is that you yourself are a government employee engaged in those despicable activities.
Could you give some reasons why you think specific activities of TSA workers that are similar to the activities of someone who molests children at a mall are justified? I don't expect that I'll agree with you, but I am sincerely interested in "knowing" why people like you think what you do for money is a good thing. Thanks.
Ken R at November 24, 2012 6:45 AM
In the end, it's their choice. The stats have always been there. Free will does not a murder make. Nice try.
It's the "she was wearing a tight skirt" defense. There are few things more satisfying than blaming the victim, which is what you're doing when you say, "it's their choice." It's not their choice to die. They would rather be flying, but government asshats like you make it so unpleasant that they opt to drive instead. You should "know" that actions have consequences, and right now the taxpayers are forking over $8 billion a year for something that is killing us more than protecting us.
It's like hiring a bouncer at a club who doesn't stop the violence inside but occasionally beats up innocent people walking in. And sometimes steals their toothpaste.
MonicaP at November 24, 2012 6:46 AM
"Guess what: "Knowing" is yet another government thug."
For me, the sign that somebody has an inflated sense of self-worth is a handle like that. Ditto, for people using "Truth", etc.
Radwaste is my job.
Dude, here's a tip: the brown shirt doesn't hide those food stains like you think it does.
Radwaste at November 24, 2012 7:48 AM
Buddy of mine has an adage about people like "Knowing": Once a tool, always a tool.
Nothing more, nothing less. Well, maybe something less. Less than the shit I scrape off the bottom of my boot. Which actually describes most of the TSA workers anyway, dunnit?
Flynne at November 24, 2012 7:59 AM
Nice try. Better recheck the IP.
Knowing at November 24, 2012 11:20 AM
I bet you're now posting from some aircard. It doesn't really matter. Until you come up with some truly fact based posts you're just an irritating troll.
Jim P. at November 24, 2012 11:54 AM
Amy Alkon
http://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2012/11/24/business_week_o.html#comment-3472647">comment from KnowingNice try. Better recheck the IP.
Nice try.
You said something about being "back" or something like that in one of these strings of rabid attacks on me. And you are back. And the last time you came here and attacked me, you got careless, posting from two different IPs -- one of which is at the DHS.
There was more to your comments than your just being some ordinary person commenting here. I didn't realize it totally -- I just knew something was off because of the rabidity and constancy and low blows of your attacks. (I'm not really a journalist, blah blah blah.) You have too much invested here, coming back over and over and over again, and you're too much of an asshole in the personal way you attack me, to be an ordinary citizen.
You mostly covered your tracks, IP-wise -- but there were a few times you didn't.
Your goose is cooked, scumbag.
Amy Alkon
at November 24, 2012 11:57 AM
Amy: this.
Also, try to keep in mind the difference between intent and accident.
It matters.
Jeff Guinn at November 24, 2012 7:29 PM
Amy Alkon
http://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2012/11/24/business_week_o.html#comment-3473210">comment from Jeff GuinnJeff, you actually have to digest a link and explain what it is, not just post "this" and expect everyone is going to read a PDF of some subcommittee meeting.
Amy Alkon
at November 24, 2012 7:51 PM
Amy Alkon
http://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2012/11/24/business_week_o.html#comment-3473211">comment from Amy AlkonOh, and the line I did read (I'm up and shouldn't be - jet lag combined with energy from digging up details on "Knowing" posting here anonymously from DHS computers) is crap:
"TSA Administrator John Pistole has recognized this fact by applying a more risk-based..."
There's been no risk analysis. See the above piece.
Also, at LAX, when we were leaving for Paris, Gregg saw them letting airport workers through the metal detector ungroped and unscanned. "What happened was, I was next to the 'toaster oven' and the mag detector, and four people were let through the mag detector."
Gregg said to the TSA guy, "Why do they get to go through there?" The TSA guy said to Gregg, "Because they work here."
Amy Alkon
at November 24, 2012 7:53 PM
[Amy:] Jeff, you actually have to digest a link and explain what it is, not just post "this" and expect everyone is going to read a PDF of some subcommittee meeting.
Predigested, as in I already knew airline pilots' position on this issue.
You have done plenty of bleating on this subject, without saying a syllable about what you would want done instead.
Which is?
Before answering, review FAR 91.3. It matters. A lot.
Jeff Guinn at November 24, 2012 8:41 PM
"You have done plenty of bleating on this subject, without saying a syllable about what you would want done instead."
That's been done by the commenters. Read back.
And the first two paragraphs above are NOT done, as has been noted repeatedly here, with citations taken from news reports.
Did you notice the excuse in the third case? Basically, it says that when there were lapses nothing happened, so that's OK.
No football coach excuses missed coverage just because the ball wasn't thrown that way.
You cited empty words.
Radwaste at November 25, 2012 2:03 AM
ALPA is just another crony union. It represents the interests of everyday pilots about as well as the NEA represents the interests of everyday teachers.
Cousin Dave at November 25, 2012 10:00 AM
Just a thought on getting the government to monitor itself…
A couple of months ago there was a Command meeting (filled with Lieutenant Colonels, Colonels and other such high-level GS employees) talking about ways to make the hospital more efficient. One of the surgeons in attendance recommended directly keeping track of the amount of time spent on such non-official websites as Youtube or Facebook. Per the surgeon, he was immediately shot down by said Lieutenant Colonels, Colonels and other such high-level GS employees who seemed to have a vested self-interest in not keeping direct tabs on web-related activities (even though all the data is recorded and stored). As a view from the inside, the only way you can get the government to care about what its minions are doing is if they are viewing porn at work. Even then it seems to be a hard sell to punish lazy government employees.
Maybe Knowing can feel comfortable (as a high school graduate GS-5-7) misusing/abusing government resources. Or maybe not… He/she seems to be rather quiet on the current discussion.
Doc Jensen at November 25, 2012 11:15 AM
That is an absolutely perfect ad hominem.
Really? Link, please, because I sure can't find anything.
NB: I have never said the TSA is perfect, or even close enough to perfection that it can't be made better. Rather, I have maintained that checkpoint screening has been effective (which is also ALPA's position), and is, unfortunately, essential.
So, if you can find a better way to keep bombs off airplanes, then please let us all know.
Because so long as the Islamist threat continues, the option of eliminating, or relaxing, screening does not exist.
Which is why I referred you to FAR 91.3 above: Captains will not fly the airplanes.
Jeff Guinn at November 25, 2012 3:45 PM
The timeline of airliner bombing attacks shows about 88 attempts to bomb planes in aviation history. Let's assume security missed 500% of the rest of the attempts. That is about 440 attempted bombings. The average number of commercial launches each day is well over 50,000.
The threat of bombs are the same pre and post 9/11 -- insignificant. The reason that the Lockerbie was not repeated often is that it was ineffective. Yes, while Pan Am Flight 103 did crash into Lockerbie, it only killed 11 people on the ground.
The security prior to 9/11 deterred most bombings. Then throw in that 60% of cargo is still not screened even after 9/11 the bombings have not significantly increased means that bombings are not a threat.
All FAR 91.3 says is that pilot is in charge. About all that encompasses is that the senior pilot is responsible for the aircraft and it's conduct and landing safely regardless of the normal rules.
If that were to include flying over Area 51 or other secured flight areas they are now subject to shoot down where the pilots weren't subject to shoot down prior to 9/11.
That is the only difference.
Jim P. at November 25, 2012 7:41 PM
No.
What it says is that the pilot in command is the final authority. Which means that if the PIC decides that the flight is not safe to depart, it won't.
There is no particular disagreement among airline pilots that checkpoint screening (among other security measures) is essential. So, if some redhead was to show up without, thanks to an epic fit, having gone through screening and insist she be flown from point A to B, she will remain at point A.
Period.
Let's not assume that, because it is silly on its face.
You don't seem to understand deterrence.
Jeff Guinn at November 25, 2012 9:40 PM
You don't seem to understand deterrence.
You dont seem to understand reality
lujlp at November 26, 2012 3:50 PM
Wow, lujlp, you really have that insult thing down. Constructing an argument, not so much.
Jeff Guinn at November 26, 2012 4:57 PM
Kinda hard to structure an argument for you what with your blind faith, and complete lack of reason, logic, and critical thinking skills
lujlp at November 26, 2012 5:59 PM
Wow, lujlp, you really have that insult thing down. Constructing an argument, not so much.
Jeff Guinn at November 26, 2012 6:25 PM
(apologies for the double post)
lujlp: Then it should be easy for you to do, so give it a try. And, by all means, send your argument to ALPA; I'm sure they will be thrilled to get it.
---
Amy: You really should give a sanity check to numbers before you trot them out: 242 extra automotive deaths per month should have prompted giant question marks, interspersed with exclamation points.
There were 800 additional motor vehicle deaths in 2002 vice 2001, along with 60 million more vehicle-miles, for a year-on-year increase in the fatality rate of .89%. However, 242 additional deaths per month means an increase in the monthly fatality rate of 7% -- nearly an order of magnitude greater.
Even if every death was attributable to driving in lieu of flying --which itself is an idiotic assumption -- the numbers are so far out of whack with reality that one wonders if Cornell University's notion of mathematics is yanking numbers from where the sun doesn't shine.
And that is before getting to jaw dropping nonsense behind
Jeff Guinn at November 26, 2012 6:42 PM
Yes, I do. You refuse to acknowledge that there have been only 88 attempted/successful airline bombings in aviation history. There are are about 108 hijackings total, over time,
So call it 1000 hijacking and bombings attempts in aviation history. And let's say that only 25K commercial flights launch per day. So 25K flights * 30 days = 750,000 flights per month.
That gets all bombings and hijackings combined to about a 1 in a 1M chance.
Jim P. at November 26, 2012 9:00 PM
Since 9/11, how many didn't happen?
That's the problem you refuse to come to terms with.
While you are having fun with numbers, think about this. Had the shoe and panty bombers been successful, the loss rate for US airliners from bombings would have been 70% the loss rate for all other causes, combined. And infinity times as many fatalities.
Jeff Guinn at November 26, 2012 11:02 PM
And infinity times as many fatalities.
Ooops, hasty typing. And twice as many ...
Jeff Guinn at November 26, 2012 11:08 PM
Jeff Guinn:
I despair of mentioning anything and have you understand it, because of that earlier thing where you didn't understand safety analysis applying to deliberate as well as unintentional acts.
Hey Skipper, actually a pilot, favors dogs and interviews by qualified and vetted people (not the convenience store clerks without credentials found in TSA uniforms now), and if you step off this blog awhile to the often-cited Patrick Smith's Ask The Pilot column, he has plenty to say on the subject.
But let me return to a Gross Conceptual Error you have - that "deterrence" is "prevention".
It is NOT.
Not only does deterrence not prevent attacks on the venue claimed, it definitively does NOT protect ALTERNATE targets.
Basically, your entire argument is that because TSA is patting people down, terrorists will not attack anywhere.
Because they aren't doing that.
That argument is fallacious, and thus worthless.
Radwaste at November 27, 2012 2:51 AM
Radwaste:
Jeff Guinn = Hey Skipper
You have absolutely no evidence for the former, and have yet to understand the irrelevance of the latter.
Like it or not, Islamofascists view airliners as being particularly high-value targets (try counting attacks on Western targets sometime: compare those against or using airliners against all others).
I have a pretty decent background in safety, and the "deliberate acts" you talk about have nothing whatsoever to do with suicidal acts of war; rather, they are the intentional deviations from standard procedures, whether through sloppiness, ego, or complacency. "Blue Threat: Why to err is inhuman" is a whole book about just that.
Bollocks. Pure alternate universe nonsense. Basically, your entire argument has thus far rested upon ignorance (1), conceptual confusion (2), and a tour of logical fallacies (3).
----
1: you were ignorant of what is required for a bomb, and similarly clueless about continuing attacks on the U.S.
2: continued inability to distinguish the realm of safety programs, and intentional criminal acts. I can't think of, off hand, and even with more prolonged reflection, a single safety measure that would be even glancingly effective against the suicidal.
3. Previously, you clearly didn't know what a straw-man is, but in the statement above, you demonstrate considerable skill in using one. How can that be?
----
But hey, why take my word for any of this? Like I suggested above, take your argument to ALPA. What I am arguing is essentially ALPA's position. Clearly, since you know so much more, I am sure they will be thrilled to hear from you.
And if you don't think checkpoint security is effective, try sneaking through something that could plausibly become a bomb.
Jeff Guinn at November 27, 2012 11:22 AM
Other than the Federal Flight Deck Officer Program PDF on the ALPA website do they mention terrorism? And the FFDO program is subject to cuts under Obama.
No, I am not. You keep insisting that Like it or not, Islamofascists view airliners as being particularly high-value targets. That may be true -- but you refuse give any citation for this "fact". If the shoe bomber and panty bomber are your facts -- that is two actual attempts among 182,500,000 (50000 * 365 * 10) flights. Two bombing attempts comes to about 2/(50000 * 365 * 10) .00000000109589041% of all fights have had an attempted bombing. The TSA was not involved as both flights originated overseas.
Saying the TSA is effective is similar to the argument that because a village disbanded the local police force and contracted with the state the murder rate is steady.
The murder rate in the village was 0% for the prior 20 years. The state police becomes the local law enforcement, the murder rate stayed at 0%. Is this the state police doing their job or is that the natural state of the village?
Jim P. at November 27, 2012 9:35 PM
Here.
(FWIW, for reasons you have given, and I agree with, I think both the FFDO and FSM programs should be scrapped.)
Yes, the TSA was involved, precisely because they originated overseas.
Who needs a citation for the bleeding obvious?
(And it isn't as if a citation somehow creates ground truth — as the patently bogus numbers that were the source for this post clearly demonstrate.)
So let me get this straight. Security screening works, and you want to, well, what?
If you want to argue there is no threat, then give it a go. Or if you think it better we change things so as to shave some of those leading zeroes, then make the case.
Otherwise, you are doing a lot of typing without a point.
Arguing from analogy is only worthwhile if the analogy is not itself false, and also clarifies the argument.
Here it does neither. The argument is already plenty clear, and your analogy is so false even the punctuation is suspect.
Jeff Guinn at November 28, 2012 9:47 AM
Jeff, you've just plain lost it. Two posts ago, you've confused me with someone else.
I have a pretty good idea of what bombs need to be. An acquaintance here actually teaches IED construction to a variety of state and Federal agencies.
It remains that the USA is NOT protected from terrorism by patdowns, AND the lack of attacks by terrorists on other targets shows that TSA is not being challenged.
It remains that IF TSA is challenged by a determined adversary - the one alleged to be at our throats daily - the failure rate demonstrated by TSA audits will let one through.
IF the adversary really exists.
I really wish you'd visit one of the many sites regarding fallacies and apply their points to your claims.
Radwaste at November 29, 2012 6:53 PM
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